<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html> <head> <title>UTas ePrints - Determining natural scales of ecological systems</title> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/javascript/auto.js"><!-- padder --></script> <style type="text/css" media="screen">@import url(http://eprints.utas.edu.au/style/auto.css);</style> <style type="text/css" media="print">@import url(http://eprints.utas.edu.au/style/print.css);</style> <link rel="icon" href="/images/eprints/favicon.ico" type="image/x-icon" /> <link rel="shortcut icon" href="/images/eprints/favicon.ico" type="image/x-icon" /> <link rel="Top" href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/" /> <link rel="Search" href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/search" /> <meta content="Habeeb, Rebecca L." name="eprints.creators_name" /> <meta content="Trebilco, Jessica" name="eprints.creators_name" /> <meta content="Wotherspoon, Simon" name="eprints.creators_name" /> <meta content="Johnson, Craig R." name="eprints.creators_name" /> <meta name="eprints.creators_id" /> <meta name="eprints.creators_id" /> <meta name="eprints.creators_id" /> <meta content="craig.johnson@utas.edu.au" name="eprints.creators_id" /> <meta content="article" name="eprints.type" /> <meta content="2007-05-18" name="eprints.datestamp" /> <meta content="2008-02-04T05:18:40Z" name="eprints.lastmod" /> <meta content="show" name="eprints.metadata_visibility" /> <meta content="Determining natural scales of ecological systems " name="eprints.title" /> <meta content="pub" name="eprints.ispublished" /> <meta content="270702" name="eprints.subjects" /> <meta content="restricted" name="eprints.full_text_status" /> <meta content="attractor reconstruction; characteristic length scale; community dynamics; ecosystem; nonlinear dynamics; spatial and temporal dynamics; spatial scale; spatiotemporal models" name="eprints.keywords" /> <meta content="Copyright by the Ecological Society of America." name="eprints.note" /> <meta content="A key issue in ecology is to identify the appropriate scale(s) at which to observe trends in ecosystem behavior. The characteristic length scale (CLS) is a natural scale of a system at which the underlying deterministic dynamics are most clearly observed. Any approach to estimating CLSs of a natural system must be able to accommodate complex nonlinear dynamics and must have realistic requirements for data. Here, we compare the robustness of two methods to estimate CLSs of dynamical systems, both of which use attractor reconstruction to account for the complex oscillatory dynamics of ecological systems. We apply these techniques to estimate CLSs of spatial multispecies systems of varying complexity, and show that both methods are robust for the simplest system, but as model complexity increases, the Pascual and Levin metric is more robust than that of Keeling et al. Both methods demonstrate some sensitivity to the choice of species used in the analysis, with closely connected species producing more similar CLSs than loosely connected species. In this context, connectivity is determined both by the topology of the interaction network and spatial organization in the system. Notably, systems showing complex spatial self-organization can yield multiple CLSs, with larger length scales indicating the emergent dynamics of interactions between patches. While the prediction r to the power of 2 metric of Pascual and Levin is suitable to estimate CLSs of complex systems, their method is not suitable to apply to most real ecosystems because of the requirement of long time series for attractor reconstruction. We offer two alternatives, both based on prediction r to the power of 2, but where repetition in space is largely (the "short time series" method) or wholly (the "sliding window" method) substituted for repetition in time in attractor reconstruction. Both methods, and in particular the short time series based on only three or four sequential observations of a system, are robust in detecting the primary length scale of complex systems. We conclude that the modified techniques are suitable for application to natural systems. Thus they offer, for the first time, an opportunity to estimate natural scales of real ecosystems, providing objectivity in important decisions about scaling in ecology." name="eprints.abstract" /> <meta content="2005-11" name="eprints.date" /> <meta content="published" name="eprints.date_type" /> <meta content="Ecological Monographs" name="eprints.publication" /> <meta content="75" name="eprints.volume" /> <meta content="4" name="eprints.number" /> <meta content="467-487" name="eprints.pagerange" /> <meta content="10.1890/04-1415" name="eprints.id_number" /> <meta content="UNSPECIFIED" name="eprints.thesis_type" /> <meta content="TRUE" name="eprints.refereed" /> <meta content="http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/04-1415" name="eprints.official_url" /> <meta content="Abarbanel, H. 1996. Analysis of observed chaotic data. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA. Allain, C., and M. Cloitre. 1991. Characterizing the lacunarity of random and deterministic fractal sets. Physical Review A 44:3552-3558. Bishop, M. J., A. J. Underwood, and P. Archambault. 2002. Sewage and environmental impacts on rocky shores: necessity of identifying relevant spatial scales. Marine Ecology Progress Series 236:121-128. Buzug, T., and G. Pfister. 1992. Comparison of algorithms calculating optimal embedding parameters for delay time coordinates. Physica D 58:127-137. Carlile, D., J. Skalski, J. Batker, J. Thomas, and V. Cullinan. 1989. Determination of ecological scale. Landscape Ecology 2:203-213. Casdagli, M. 1989. Nonlinear prediction of chaotic time series. Physica D 35:335-356. De Roos, A., E. McCauley, and W. Wilson. 1991. Mobility versus density-limited predator-prey dynamics on different spatial scales. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 246:117-122. Dieckmann, U., R. Law, and J. A. J. Metz, editors. 2000. The geometry of ecological interactions: simplifying spatial complexity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. Dunstan, P. K., and C. R. Johnson. 2005. Predicting global dynamics from local interactions: individual-based models predict complex features of marine epibenthic communities. Ecological Modelling, 186:221-233. Durrett, R., and S. A. Levin. 2000. Lessons on pattern formation from planet WATOR. Journal of Theoretical Biology 205:201-214. Ellner, S., and P. Turchin. 1995. Chaos in a noisy world: new methods and evidence from time-series analysis. American Naturalist 145:343-375. Farmer, J. 1982. Chaotic attractors of an infinite-dimensional dynamical system. Physica D 4:366-393. Greig-Smith, P. 1952. The use of random and contiguous quadrats in the study of the structure of plant communities. Annals of Botany 16:293-316. Hastings, A., C. L. Hom, S. Ellner, P. Turchin, and H. C. J. Godfray. 1993. Chaos in ecology: is mother nature a strange attractor? Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 24:1-33. Johnson, C. R. 1997. Self-organising in spatial competition systems. Pages 245-263 in N. Klomp and I. Lunt, editors. Frontiers in ecology: building the links. Elsevier, Oxford, UK. Johnson, C. R., D. Klumpp, J. Field, and R. Bradbury. 1995. Carbon flux on coral reefs: effects of large shifts in community structure. Marine Ecology Progress Series 126:123- 143. Johnson, C. R., and K. H. Mann. 1988. Diversity, patterns of adaptation, and stability of Nova Scotian kelp beds. Ecological Monographs 58:129-154. Johnson, C. R., and I. Seinen. 2002. Selection for restraint in competitive ability in spatial competition systems. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 269:655-663. Kantz, H., and T. Schreiber. 1997. Nonlinear time series analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. Kaplan, D., and L. Glass. 1995. Understanding nonlinear dynamics. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA. Keeling, M. J., I. Mezic, R. Hendry, J. Mcglade, and D. Rand. 1997. Characteristic length scales of spatial models in ecology via fluctuation analysis. Philisophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 352:1589-1601. Kennel, M. B., R. Brown, and H. D. I. Abarbanel. 1994. Determining embedding dimension for phase-space reconstruction using a geometrical construction. Physics Review A 45:3403-3411. Kershaw, K. A. 1957. The use of cover and frequency in the detection of pattern in plant communities. Ecology 38:291- 299. Levin, S. A. 1992. The problem of pattern and scale in ecology. Ecology 73:1943-1967. Levin, S. A. 2000. Multiple scales and the maintenance of biodiversity. Ecosystems 3:498-506. Levin, S. A., B. Grenfell, A. Hastings, and A. S. Perelson. 1997. Mathematical and computational challenges in population biology and ecosystems science. Science 275:334- 343. Liebert, W., and H. Schuster. 1989. Proper choice of the time delay for the analysis of chaotic time series. Physics Letters A 142:107-111. Little, S., S. Ellner, M. Pascual, M. Neubert, D. Kaplan, T. Sauer, H. Caswell, and A. Solow. 1996. Detecting nonlinear dynamics in spatio-temporal systems, examples from ecological models. Physica D 96:321-333. Marcos-Nikolaus, P., J. M. Martin-Gonzalez, and R. V. Sole. 2002. Spatial forecasting: detecting determinism from single snapshots. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 12:369-376. Molofsky, J., J. Bever, J. Antonovics, and T. Newmaan. 2002. Negative frequency dependence and the importance of spatial scale. Ecology 83:21-27. Nichols, J. M., and J. D. Nichols. 2001. Attractor reconstruction for non-linear systems: a methodological note. Mathematical Biosciences 171:21-32 ÂNeill, R. V., D. L. DeAngelis, J. B. Waide, and T. F. H. Allen. 1986. A hierarchical concept of ecosystems. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA. Pascual, M., and S. Ellner. 2000. Linking ecological patterns to environmental forcing via nonlinear time series models. Ecology 81:2767-2780. Pascual, M., and S. A. Levin. 1999. From individuals to population densities: searching for the intermediate scale of nontrivial determinism. Ecology 80:2225-2236. Plotnick, R. E., R. H. Gardner, W. W. Hargrove, K. Prestegaard, and M. Perlmutter. 1996. Lacunarity analysis: a general technique for the analysis of spatial patterns. Physical Review E 53:5461-5468. Rand, D. 1994. Measuring and characterizing spatial patterns, dynamics and chaos in spatially extended dynamical systems and ecologies. Philisophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A 348:497-514. Rand, D., and H. Wilson. 1995. Using spatio-temporal chaos and intermediate-scale determinism to quantify spatially extended ecosystems. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 259:111-117. Schneider, D. C. 1994. Quantitative ecology: spatial and temporal scaling. Academic Press, San Diego. Schreiber, T. 1995. Efficient neighbor searching in nonlinear time series analysis. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 5:349-358. Schreiber, T. 1999. Interdisciplinary application of nonlinear time series methods. Physics Reports 308:2-64. Sole, R. V., and J. Bascompte. 1995. Measuring chaos from spatial information. Journal of Theoretical Biology 175: 139-147. Sugihara, G., B. Grenfell, and R. M. May. 1990. Distinguishing error from chaos in ecological time series. Philisophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 330:235-251. Takens, F. 1981. Detecting strange attractors in turbulence. Pages 366-381 in D. Rand and L. Young, editors. Dynamical systems and turbulence, Warwick 1980. Lecture notes in mathematics. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA. Tilman, D., and P. Kareiva, editors. 1997. Spatial ecology: the role of space in population dynamics and interspecific interactions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA. Turner, S., R. V. Neill, W. Conley, M. Conley, and H. Humphries. 1991. Pattern and scale: Statistics for landscape ecology. Pages 17-47 in S. J. Turner and R. H. Gardner, editors. Quantitative methods in landscape ecology. Springer Verlag, New York, New York, USA. Tyre, A. J., H. P. Possingham, and C. M. Bull. 1997. Characteristic scales in ecology: fact, fiction or futility. Pages 233-243 in N. Klomp and I. Lunt, editors. Frontiers in ecology. Elsevier Science, New York, New York, USA. Wiens, J. 1989. Spatial scaling in ecology. Functional Ecology 3:385-397. Wilson, H. B., and M. J. Keeling. 2000. Spatial scales and low dimensional deterministic dynamics. Pages 209-226 in U. Dieckmann, R. Law, and J. A. J. Metz, editors. The geometry of ecological interactions: simplifying spatial complexity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK." name="eprints.referencetext" /> <meta content="Habeeb, Rebecca L. and Trebilco, Jessica and Wotherspoon, Simon and Johnson, Craig R. (2005) Determining natural scales of ecological systems. Ecological Monographs, 75 (4). pp. 467-487." name="eprints.citation" /> <meta content="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/1049/1/2005_Habeeb%2C_Trebilco%2C_Wotherspoon_%26_Johnson_Ecol_Monogr.pdf" name="eprints.document_url" /> <link rel="schema.DC" href="http://purl.org/DC/elements/1.0/" /> <meta content="Determining natural scales of ecological systems " name="DC.title" /> <meta content="Habeeb, Rebecca L." name="DC.creator" /> <meta content="Trebilco, Jessica" name="DC.creator" /> <meta content="Wotherspoon, Simon" name="DC.creator" /> <meta content="Johnson, Craig R." name="DC.creator" /> <meta content="270702 Marine and Estuarine Ecology (incl. Marine Ichthyology)" name="DC.subject" /> <meta content="A key issue in ecology is to identify the appropriate scale(s) at which to observe trends in ecosystem behavior. The characteristic length scale (CLS) is a natural scale of a system at which the underlying deterministic dynamics are most clearly observed. Any approach to estimating CLSs of a natural system must be able to accommodate complex nonlinear dynamics and must have realistic requirements for data. Here, we compare the robustness of two methods to estimate CLSs of dynamical systems, both of which use attractor reconstruction to account for the complex oscillatory dynamics of ecological systems. We apply these techniques to estimate CLSs of spatial multispecies systems of varying complexity, and show that both methods are robust for the simplest system, but as model complexity increases, the Pascual and Levin metric is more robust than that of Keeling et al. Both methods demonstrate some sensitivity to the choice of species used in the analysis, with closely connected species producing more similar CLSs than loosely connected species. In this context, connectivity is determined both by the topology of the interaction network and spatial organization in the system. Notably, systems showing complex spatial self-organization can yield multiple CLSs, with larger length scales indicating the emergent dynamics of interactions between patches. While the prediction r to the power of 2 metric of Pascual and Levin is suitable to estimate CLSs of complex systems, their method is not suitable to apply to most real ecosystems because of the requirement of long time series for attractor reconstruction. We offer two alternatives, both based on prediction r to the power of 2, but where repetition in space is largely (the "short time series" method) or wholly (the "sliding window" method) substituted for repetition in time in attractor reconstruction. Both methods, and in particular the short time series based on only three or four sequential observations of a system, are robust in detecting the primary length scale of complex systems. We conclude that the modified techniques are suitable for application to natural systems. Thus they offer, for the first time, an opportunity to estimate natural scales of real ecosystems, providing objectivity in important decisions about scaling in ecology." name="DC.description" /> <meta content="2005-11" name="DC.date" /> <meta content="Article" name="DC.type" /> <meta content="PeerReviewed" name="DC.type" /> <meta content="application/pdf" name="DC.format" /> <meta content="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/1049/1/2005_Habeeb%2C_Trebilco%2C_Wotherspoon_%26_Johnson_Ecol_Monogr.pdf" name="DC.identifier" /> <meta content="http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/04-1415" name="DC.relation" /> <meta content="Habeeb, Rebecca L. and Trebilco, Jessica and Wotherspoon, Simon and Johnson, Craig R. (2005) Determining natural scales of ecological systems. 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border: solid 1px #ccc; padding: 3px"><tr> <td align="left"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/users/home">Login</a> | <a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/register">Create Account</a></td> <td align="right" style="white-space: nowrap"> <form method="get" accept-charset="utf-8" action="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/search" style="display:inline"> <input class="ep_tm_searchbarbox" size="20" type="text" name="q" /> <input class="ep_tm_searchbarbutton" value="Search" type="submit" name="_action_search" /> <input type="hidden" name="_order" value="bytitle" /> <input type="hidden" name="basic_srchtype" value="ALL" /> <input type="hidden" name="_satisfyall" value="ALL" /> </form> </td> </tr></table></td></tr> <tr> <td class="toplinks"><!-- InstanceBeginEditable name="content" --> <div align="center"> <table width="720" class="ep_tm_main"><tr><td align="left"> <h1 class="ep_tm_pagetitle">Determining natural scales of ecological systems</h1> <p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"><span class="person_name">Habeeb, Rebecca L.</span> and <span class="person_name">Trebilco, Jessica</span> and <span class="person_name">Wotherspoon, Simon</span> and <span class="person_name">Johnson, Craig R.</span> (2005) <xhtml:em>Determining natural scales of ecological systems.</xhtml:em> Ecological Monographs, 75 (4). pp. 467-487.</p><p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"></p><table style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"><tr><td valign="top" style="text-align:center"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/1049/1/2005_Habeeb%2C_Trebilco%2C_Wotherspoon_%26_Johnson_Ecol_Monogr.pdf"><img alt="[img]" src="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/style/images/fileicons/application_pdf.png" border="0" class="ep_doc_icon" /></a></td><td valign="top"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/1049/1/2005_Habeeb%2C_Trebilco%2C_Wotherspoon_%26_Johnson_Ecol_Monogr.pdf"><span class="ep_document_citation">PDF</span></a> - Full text restricted - Requires a PDF viewer<br />2396Kb</td><td><form method="get" accept-charset="utf-8" action="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/request_doc"><input value="1229" name="docid" accept-charset="utf-8" type="hidden" /><div class=""><input value="Request a copy" name="_action_null" class="ep_form_action_button" onclick="return EPJS_button_pushed( '_action_null' )" type="submit" /> </div></form></td></tr></table><p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block">Official URL: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/04-1415">http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/04-1415</a></p><div class="not_ep_block"><h2>Abstract</h2><p style="padding-bottom: 16px; text-align: left; margin: 1em auto 0em auto">A key issue in ecology is to identify the appropriate scale(s) at which to observe trends in ecosystem behavior. The characteristic length scale (CLS) is a natural scale of a system at which the underlying deterministic dynamics are most clearly observed. Any approach to estimating CLSs of a natural system must be able to accommodate complex nonlinear dynamics and must have realistic requirements for data. Here, we compare the robustness of two methods to estimate CLSs of dynamical systems, both of which use attractor reconstruction to account for the complex oscillatory dynamics of ecological systems. We apply these techniques to estimate CLSs of spatial multispecies systems of varying complexity, and show that both methods are robust for the simplest system, but as model complexity increases, the Pascual and Levin metric is more robust than that of Keeling et al. Both methods demonstrate some sensitivity to the choice of species used in the analysis, with closely connected species producing more similar CLSs than loosely connected species. In this context, connectivity is determined both by the topology of the interaction network and spatial organization in the system. Notably, systems showing complex spatial self-organization can yield multiple CLSs, with larger length scales indicating the emergent dynamics of interactions between patches. While the prediction r to the power of 2 metric of Pascual and Levin is suitable to estimate CLSs of complex systems, their method is not suitable to apply to most real ecosystems because of the requirement of long time series for attractor reconstruction. We offer two alternatives, both based on prediction r to the power of 2, but where repetition in space is largely (the "short time series" method) or wholly (the "sliding window" method) substituted for repetition in time in attractor reconstruction. Both methods, and in particular the short time series based on only three or four sequential observations of a system, are robust in detecting the primary length scale of complex systems. We conclude that the modified techniques are suitable for application to natural systems. Thus they offer, for the first time, an opportunity to estimate natural scales of real ecosystems, providing objectivity in important decisions about scaling in ecology.</p></div><table style="margin-bottom: 1em" border="0" cellpadding="3" class="not_ep_block"><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Item Type:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">Article</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Additional Information:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">Copyright by the Ecological Society of America.</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Keywords:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">attractor reconstruction; characteristic length scale; community dynamics; ecosystem; nonlinear dynamics; spatial and temporal dynamics; spatial scale; spatiotemporal models</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Subjects:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/view/subjects/270702.html">270000 Biological Sciences > 270700 Ecology and Evolution > 270702 Marine and Estuarine Ecology (incl. Marine Ichthyology)</a></td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Collections:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">UNSPECIFIED</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">ID Code:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">1049</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Deposited By:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><span class="ep_name_citation"><span class="person_name">Professor Craig R. Johnson</span></span></td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Deposited On:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">18 May 2007</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Last Modified:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">04 Feb 2008 16:18</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">ePrint Statistics:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><a target="ePrintStats" href="/es/index.php?action=show_detail_eprint;id=1049;">View statistics for this ePrint</a></td></tr></table><p align="right">Repository Staff Only: <a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/users/home?screen=EPrint::View&eprintid=1049">item control page</a></p> </td></tr></table> </div> <!-- InstanceEndEditable --></td> </tr> <tr> <td><!-- #BeginLibraryItem "/Library/footer_eprints.lbi" --> <table width="795" border="0" align="left" cellpadding="0" class="footer"> <tr valign="top"> <td colspan="2"><div align="center"><a href="http://www.utas.edu.au">UTAS home</a> | <a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/library/">Library home</a> | <a href="/">ePrints home</a> | <a href="/contact.html">contact</a> | <a href="/information.html">about</a> | <a href="/view/">browse</a> | <a href="/perl/search/simple">search</a> | <a href="/perl/register">register</a> | <a href="/perl/users/home">user area</a> | <a href="/help/">help</a></div><br /></td> </tr> <tr><td colspan="2"><p><img src="/images/eprints/footerline.gif" width="100%" height="4" /></p></td></tr> <tr valign="top"> <td width="68%" class="footer">Authorised by the University Librarian<br /> © University of Tasmania ABN 30 764 374 782<br /> <a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/cricos/">CRICOS Provider Code 00586B</a> | <a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/copyright/copyright_disclaimers.html">Copyright & Disclaimers</a> | <a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/accessibility/index.html">Accessibility</a> | <a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/feedback/">Site Feedback</a> </td> <td width="32%"><div align="right"> <p align="right" class="NoPrint"><a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/"><img src="http://www.utas.edu.au/shared/logos/unioftasstrip.gif" alt="University of Tasmania Home Page" width="260" height="16" border="0" align="right" /></a></p> <p align="right" class="NoPrint"><a href="http://www.utas.edu.au/"><br /> </a></p> </div></td> </tr> <tr valign="top"> <td><p> </p></td> <td><div align="right"><span class="NoPrint"><a href="http://www.eprints.org/software/"><img src="/images/eprintslogo.gif" alt="ePrints logo" width="77" height="29" border="0" align="bottom" /></a></span></div></td> </tr> </table> <!-- #EndLibraryItem --> <div align="center"></div></td> </tr> </table> </body> </html>