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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <HTML> <HEAD> <title>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 abstracts</title> <META NAME="generator" CONTENT="BBEdit 6.5"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="/infosci/styles.css" type="text/css"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="DPSstyles.css" type="text/css"> </HEAD> <BODY> <h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 Abstracts</h2> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-01">2003/01: Software cinema</a></h3> <h4>B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor</h4> <p>The process for requirements elicitation has traditionally been based on textual descriptions or graphical models using UML. While these may have worked for the design of desktop-based systems, we argue, that these notations are not adequate for a dialog with mobile end users, in particular for end users in “blue collar” application domains. We propose an alternative modelling technique “Software Cinema” based on the use of digital videos. We discuss one particular example of using Software cinema in the design of a user interface for a navigation system of a mobile end user.</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 244KB)</p> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-02">2003/02: Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system</a></h3> <h4>M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis</h4> <p>In FIPA-style multi-agent systems, agents coordinate their activities by sending messages representing particular communicative acts (or performatives). Agent communication languages must strike a balance between simplicity and expressiveness by defining a limited set of communicative act types that fit the communication needs of a wide set of problems. More complex requirements for particular problems must then be handled by defining domain-specific predicates and actions within ontologies. This paper examines the communication needs of a multi-agent distributed information retrieval system and discusses how well these are met by the FIPA ACL.</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 322KB)</p> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-03">2003/03: Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction</a></h3> <h4>X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng</h4> <p>A modularised connectionist model, based on the Mixture of Experts (ME) algorithm for time series prediction, is introduced. A set of connectionist modules learn to be local experts over some commonly appearing states of a time series. The dynamics for mixing the experts is a Markov process, in which the states of a time series are regarded as states of a HMM. Hence, there is a Markov chain along the time series and each state associates to a local expert. The state transition on the Markov chain is the process of activating a different local expert or activating some of them simultaneously by different probabilities generated from the HMM. The state transition property in the HMM is designed to be time-variant and conditional on the first order dynamics of the time series. A modified BaumÐWelch algorithm is introduced for the training of the time-variant HMM and it has been proved that by EM process the likelihood function will converge to a local minimum. Experiments, with two time series, show this approach achieves significant improvement in the generalisation performance over global models.</p> <p><strong>Keywords: </strong>series prediction, Mixture of Experts, HMM, connectionist model, expectation and maximization, Gauss probability density distribution</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 450KB)</p> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-04">2003/04: An effort prediction model for data-centred fourth-generation-language software development</a></h3> <h4>C. van Koten</h4> <p>Accurate effort prediction is often an important factor for successful software development. However, the diversity of software development tools observed today has resulted in a situation where existing effort prediction models’ applicability appears to be limited. Data-centred fourth-generation-language (4GL) software development provides one such difficulty. This paper aims to construct an accurate effort prediction model for data-centred 4GL development where a specific tool suite is used. Using historical data collected from 17 systems developed in the target environment, several linear regression models are constructed and evaluated in terms of two commonly used prediction accuracy measures, namely the mean magnitude of relative error (MMRE) and pred measures. In addition, R2, the maximum value of MRE, and statistics of the absolute residuals are used for comparing the models. The results show that models consisting of specification-based software size metrics, which were derived from Entity Relationship Diagrams (ERDs) and Function Hierarchy Diagrams (FHDs), achieve good prediction accuracy in the target environment. The models’ good effort prediction ability is particularly beneficial because specification-based metrics usually become available at an early stage of development. This paper also investigates the effect of developers’ productivity on effort prediction and has found that inclusion of productivity improves the models’ prediction accuracy further. However, additional studies will be required in order to establish the best productivity inclusive effort prediction model.</p> <p><strong>Keywords: </strong>prediction systems, 4GL, effort, metrics, empirical analysis</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-04.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 363KB)</p> <hr> <!--#include file="/infosci/footer.htm" --> <center><small><small>Last Modified <!--#ECHO VAR="LAST_MODIFIED" --></small></small></center> </BODY> </HTML> <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <HTML> <HEAD> <title>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 abstracts</title> <META NAME="generator" CONTENT="BBEdit 6.5"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="/infosci/styles.css" type="text/css"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="DPSstyles.css" type="text/css"> </HEAD> <BODY> <h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 Abstracts</h2> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-01">2003/01: Software cinema</a></h3> <h4>B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor</h4> <p>The process for requirements elicitation has traditionally been based on textual descriptions or graphical models using UML. While these may have worked for the design of desktop-based systems, we argue, that these notations are not adequate for a dialog with mobile end users, in particular for end users in “blue collar” application domains. We propose an alternative modelling technique “Software Cinema” based on the use of digital videos. We discuss one particular example of using Software cinema in the design of a user interface for a navigation system of a mobile end user.</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 244KB)</p> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-02">2003/02: Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system</a></h3> <h4>M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis</h4> <p>In FIPA-style multi-agent systems, agents coordinate their activities by sending messages representing particular communicative acts (or performatives). Agent communication languages must strike a balance between simplicity and expressiveness by defining a limited set of communicative act types that fit the communication needs of a wide set of problems. More complex requirements for particular problems must then be handled by defining domain-specific predicates and actions within ontologies. This paper examines the communication needs of a multi-agent distributed information retrieval system and discusses how well these are met by the FIPA ACL.</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 322KB)</p> <hr> <h3><a name="dp2003-03">2003/03: Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction</a></h3> <h4>X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng</h4> <p>A modularised connectionist model, based on the Mixture of Experts (ME) algorithm for time series prediction, is introduced. A set of connectionist modules learn to be local experts over some commonly appearing states of a time series. The dynamics for mixing the experts is a Markov process, in which the states of a time series are regarded as states of a HMM. Hence, there is a Markov chain along the time series and each state associates to a local expert. The state transition on the Markov chain is the process of activating a different local expert or activating some of them simultaneously by different probabilities generated from the HMM. The state transition property in the HMM is designed to be time-variant and conditional on the first order dynamics of the time series. A modified BaumÐWelch algorithm is introduced for the training of the time-variant HMM and it has been proved that by EM process the likelihood function will converge to a local minimum. Experiments, with two time series, show this approach achieves significant improvement in the generalisation performance over global models.</p> <p><strong>Keywords: </strong>series prediction, Mixture of Experts, HMM, connectionist model, expectation and maximization, Gauss probability density distribution</p> <p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 450KB)</p> <hr> <!--#include file="/infosci/footer.htm" --> <center><small><small>Last Modified <!--#ECHO VAR="LAST_MODIFIED" --></small></small></center> </BODY> </HTML>

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<h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 Abstracts</h2>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-01">2003/01: Software cinema</a></h3>
<h4>B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor</h4>

<p>The process for requirements elicitation has traditionally been based on textual descriptions or graphical models using UML. While these may have worked for the design of desktop-based systems, we argue, that these notations are not adequate for a dialog with mobile end users, in particular for end users in &#8220;blue collar&#8221; application domains. We propose an alternative modelling technique &#8220;Software Cinema&#8221; based on the use of digital videos. We discuss one particular example of using Software cinema in the design of a user interface for a navigation system of a mobile end user.</p>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 244KB)</p>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-02">2003/02: Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system</a></h3>
<h4>M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis</h4>

<p>In FIPA-style multi-agent systems, agents coordinate their activities by sending messages representing particular communicative acts (or performatives). Agent communication languages must strike a balance between simplicity and expressiveness by defining a limited set of communicative act types that fit the communication needs of a wide set of problems. More complex requirements for particular problems must then be handled by defining domain-specific predicates and actions within ontologies. This paper examines the communication needs of a multi-agent distributed information retrieval system and discusses how well these are met by the FIPA ACL.</p>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 322KB)</p>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-03">2003/03: Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction</a></h3>
<h4>X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng</h4>

<p>A modularised connectionist model, based on the Mixture of Experts (ME) algorithm for time series prediction, is introduced. A set of connectionist modules learn to be local experts over some commonly appearing states of a time series. The dynamics for mixing the experts is a Markov process, in which the states of a time series are regarded as states of a HMM. Hence, there is a Markov chain along the time series and each state associates to a local expert. The state transition on the Markov chain is the process of activating a different local expert or activating some of them simultaneously by different probabilities generated from the HMM. The state transition property in the HMM is designed to be time-variant and conditional on the first order dynamics of the time series. A modified BaumÐWelch algorithm is introduced for the training of the time-variant HMM and it has been proved that by EM process the likelihood function will converge to a local minimum. Experiments, with two time series, show this approach achieves significant improvement in the generalisation performance over global models.</p>

<p><strong>Keywords: </strong>series prediction,
Mixture of Experts,
HMM,
connectionist model,
expectation and maximization,
Gauss probability density distribution</p>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 450KB)</p>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-04">2003/04: An effort prediction model for data-centred fourth-generation-language software development</a></h3>
<h4>C. van Koten</h4>

<p>Accurate effort prediction is often an important factor for successful software development. However, the diversity of software development tools observed today has resulted in a situation where existing effort prediction models&#8217; applicability appears to be limited. Data-centred fourth-generation-language (4GL) software development provides one such difficulty. This paper aims to construct an accurate effort prediction model for data-centred 4GL development where a specific tool suite is used. Using historical data collected from 17 systems developed in the target environment, several linear regression models are constructed and evaluated in terms of two commonly used prediction accuracy measures, namely the mean magnitude of relative error (MMRE) and pred measures. In addition, R2, the maximum value of MRE, and statistics of the absolute residuals are used for comparing the models. The results show that models consisting of specification-based software size metrics, which were derived from Entity Relationship Diagrams (ERDs) and Function Hierarchy Diagrams (FHDs), achieve good prediction accuracy in the target environment. The models&#8217; good effort prediction ability is particularly beneficial because specification-based metrics usually become available at an early stage of development. This paper also investigates the effect of developers&#8217; productivity on effort prediction and has found that inclusion of productivity improves the models&#8217; prediction accuracy further. However, additional studies will be required in order to establish the best productivity inclusive effort prediction model.</p>

<p><strong>Keywords: </strong>prediction systems,
4GL,
effort,
metrics,
empirical analysis</p>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-04.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 363KB)</p>

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<h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003 Abstracts</h2>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-01">2003/01: Software cinema</a></h3>
<h4>B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor</h4>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 244KB)</p>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-02">2003/02: Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system</a></h3>
<h4>M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis</h4>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 322KB)</p>

<hr>

<h3><a name="dp2003-03">2003/03: Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction</a></h3>
<h4>X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng</h4>

<p><strong>Keywords: </strong>series prediction,
Mixture of Experts,
HMM,
connectionist model,
expectation and maximization,
Gauss probability density distribution</p>

<p><a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (gzipped PDF, 450KB)</p>

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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html> <head> <title>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003</title> <META NAME="generator" CONTENT="BBEdit 7.0.1"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="/infosci/styles.css" type="text/css"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="DPSstyles.css" type="text/css"> </head> <body> <h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003</h2> <!--#include file="post2000blurb.htm" --> <!--#include file="menu.htm" --> <h3><a name="2002">2003</a></h3> <p><strong>2003/01:</strong> B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor. <em>Software cinema.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-01">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (244KB)</p> <p><strong>2003/02:</strong> M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis. <em>Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-02">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (322KB)</p> <p><strong>2003/03:</strong> X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng. <em>Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-03">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (450KB)</p> <p><strong>2003/04:</strong> C. van Koten. <em>An effort prediction model for data-centred fourth-generation-language software development.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-04">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-04.pdf.gz">Download</a> (363KB)</p> <!--#include file="menu.htm" --> <!--#include file="/infosci/footer.htm" --> <center><small><small>Last Modified <!--#ECHO VAR="LAST_MODIFIED" --></small></small></center> </body> </html> <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html> <head> <title>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003</title> <META NAME="generator" CONTENT="BBEdit 7.0.1"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="/infosci/styles.css" type="text/css"> <link rel="Stylesheet" href="DPSstyles.css" type="text/css"> </head> <body> <h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003</h2> <!--#include file="post2000blurb.htm" --> <!--#include file="menu.htm" --> <h3><a name="2002">2003</a></h3> <p><strong>2003/01:</strong> B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor. <em>Software cinema.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-01">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (244KB)</p> <p><strong>2003/02:</strong> M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis. <em>Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-02">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (322KB)</p> <p><strong>2003/03:</strong> X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng. <em>Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-03">Abstract</a> \| <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (450KB)</p> <!--#include file="menu.htm" --> <!--#include file="/infosci/footer.htm" --> <center><small><small>Last Modified <!--#ECHO VAR="LAST_MODIFIED" --></small></small></center> </body> </html>

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<h2>Information Science Discussion Papers Series: 2003</h2>

<p><strong>2003/01:</strong> B. Bruegge, M. Purvis, O. Creighton and C. Sandor. <em>Software cinema.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-01">Abstract</a> | <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-01.pdf.gz">Download</a> (244KB)</p>

<p><strong>2003/02:</strong> M. Nowostawski, D. Carter, S. Cranefield and M. Purvis. <em>Communicative acts and interaction protocols in a distributed information system.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-02">Abstract</a> | <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-02.pdf.gz">Download</a> (322KB)</p>

<p><strong>2003/03:</strong> X. Wang, P. Whigham and D. Deng. <em>Time-line Hidden Markov Experts and its application in time series prediction.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-03">Abstract</a> | <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-03.pdf.gz">Download</a> (450KB)</p>

<p><strong>2003/04:</strong> C. van Koten. <em>An effort prediction model for data-centred fourth-generation-language software development.</em> <a href="dp2003-abstracts.htm#dp2003-04">Abstract</a> | <a href="http://divcom.otago.ac.nz/infosci/publctns/complete/papers/dp2003-04.pdf.gz">Download</a> (363KB)</p>

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